Agents Take What will Kirk Cousins next contract look like

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is taking advantage of head coach Jay Gruden's decision to play him over 2012 Offensive Rookie of the Year . He has demonstrated he can be an effective NFL starting quarterback, leading the league with a 69.2 completion percentage. On pace to throw for 4,069 yards, Cousins has a chance at setting the ' single-season pa sing yards record, owned by Jay Schroeder with 4,109 yards in 1986.The Redskins control their own destiny in a tight race to represent a weak NFC East in the playoffs. Two other divisional teams, the and , also have a 6-7 record. The Redskins are the only one of the three teams whose remaining opponents have a losing record (16-23) collectively. Safety recently said the Redskins will go as far as Cousins takes them.Cousins is in the final year of a four-year, $2,572,688 rookie contract paying him $660,000 this season. He will be getting a big raise with his next deal. How much, and whether it's with the Redskins, could hinge on Cousins' performance down the stretch and the team's finish to the season.Here's a look at how Cousins has done in his first season as a full-time starter and where he fits into the quarterback-salary landscape. A Tale of Two CousinsIt isn't a secret that most quarterbacks play better at home than on the road. There hasn't been a more dramatic home/road discrepancy this year than with Cousins. He has earned NFC Offensive Player of the Week honors twice while playing at home where the Redskins have a 5-2 record. The Redskins finally snapped a nine-game road losing streak on Sunday with a 24-21 victory against the in which Cousins completed 77.4 percent of his pa ses for 300 yards. It was also the first road game where Cousins produced like he does in home games. The chart below illustrates the difference with him at home and on the road.No place like home for CousinsLocationGamesCompletionsAttemptsComp %YardsTDsINTsPa ser RatingHome717022974.2%1851122111.5Road614422564.0%14556974.6Total1331445469.2%33061811101 Adam Henrique Women Jersey .5Cousins' 74.2 completion percentage is the best in the league for quarterbacks playing at home. His 111.5 home pa ser rating is second in the NFL behind at 115.3. Only two quarterbacks with at least 100 pa s attempts at home, and Wilson, have thrown fewer interceptions than Cousins in friendly confines.Cousins is tied with , who is losing his battle with Father Time, for the most interceptions in road games. His 74.6 road pa sing rating is 30th in NFL, which is right behind Manning's 76.5 rating. Some of the home/road difference can be attributed to growing pains as an inexperienced starter. Six of Cousins' nine road interceptions occurred in the first three away games. Since Cousins didn't win the quarterback job until late in the preseason, he didn't have the benefit of developing timing with the starting wide receivers until the regular season.Cousins has been better during the second half of the season than in the first eight games as he's gotten more comfortable in Gruden's offense and the rapport with his receivers has improved. The chemistry was also hindered by , one of the game's most dangerous deep threats, mi sing all but 12 snaps of the first seven games with a hamstring injury. His presence impacts the defense's coverage. The difference in Cousins' productivity can be seen in the following chart.Cousins peaking in the second halfGamesCompletionsAttemptsComp %YardsTDsINTsPa ser Rating1st 820630866.9%195410982.9Last 510814674.0%135282114.9Cousins has also completed a league-leading 74 percent of his pa ses during the second half of the season. He is third in pa ser rating at 114.9 trailing only Wilson (133.5) and (121.8). Equally important, Cousins has cut down on his interceptions, which have plagued him in the past. He was throwing an interception every 34 pa ses during the first half of the season. It's been every 73 pa ses over the last five games. The QB MarketThere really isn't a direct salary comparison for Kirk Cousins' situation. Eighteen quarterbacks are signed to deals averaging more than $15 million per year. All of these players had been starters longer than Cousins when they signed their deals. is the next highest-paid quarterback with the two-year, $24.5 million contract extension (worth a maximum of $38 million through incentives) he received from the in the preseason containing $13.792 million in guarantees. There's also a mechanism for Foles to void the final year of deal with outstanding performance. follows Foles with the steep hometown discount he gave the during a 2013 offseason renegotiation. The three-time Super Bowl MVP had completed two years of a four-year, $72 million extension that made him the NFL's highest-paid player (by average yearly salary) at signing in 2010 when he freed up substantial salary cap Damon Severson Men Jersey room for the Patriots over the next two seasons. Depending upon how the contract was characterized, Brady signed a five-year, $57 million deal or a three-year, $27 million extension ($9 million per year new money average). Brady received $33 million, which was fully guaranteed, in the first two years of the new deal instead of the $30 million he was scheduled to make in the remaining two years of his old contract. The final three years of Brady's pact (2015 through 2017) for $24 million were guaranteed for injury at signing. These years also became guaranteed for skill (without an offset) by him being on New England's roster for the final game of the 2014 regular season. Right before the playoffs started, Brady gave up the skill guarantee in these three years. In exchange, $1 million was added to each of his remaining base salaries.There's a big drop after Brady's deal. 's fully guaranteed four-year, $25,351,277 contract with under the Collective Bargaining Agreement's rookie wage scale is next.The two important quarterback data points could be the average contract packages for starting quarterbacks. The following chart measures these figures two different ways. One calculation is limited to starters signed to veteran contracts, since rookie deals are a function of draft position. The other method doesn't make a distinction between veteran and rookie contracts. The difference in QB contractsVeteran Starting QBs averageAll Starting QBs average(No rookie contracts)(Includes rookie contracts)Contract guarantees$42,183,448$35,117,621Fully guaranteed at signing$26,993,524$24,199,864Average salary$17,283,333$13,790,177Contract length4.17 years4.19 yearsNegotiations with WashingtonCousins doesn't have any incentive to sign an extension before the offseason. There's a lot more to gain than lose by waiting because Cousins could be one of the rare ascending starting quarterbacks to hit open market in a league where capable signal callers usually don't become free agents. Six quarterbacks heading into a contract year signed extensions prior to the start of this season.Quarterback is the ultimate leverage position in the NFL because teams would rather pay for mediocrity than start over with a high draft pick or another veteran that isn't a big upgrade. This general proposition will put Cousins in the driver's seat with Washington for negotiations to retain him provided he doesn't revert to his 2014 season form, which got him benched, during the last three games. It seems unlikely considering Cousins' growth as a quarterback this season.Cousins has excellent representation in Mike McCartney of Priority Sports. Two of his stronger deals have been defensive tackle 's five-year, $61 million contract ($35 million guaranteed) with the in 2011 when he was a franchise player and the five-year, $43.5 million contract running back Arian Foster received from the in 2012. Ngata's deal was extremely front-loaded with over 65 percent of his compensation in the first two years. Since Foster was going to receive a $2.742 million restricted free agent tender absent the deal, the average value of the four unrestricted years he gave up is $10,189,500 per year. It would not be a surprise if McCartney sought a long-term deal comparable to the contract package of the average starting quarterback on a veteran deal. The two contracts which most closely approximate these figures belong to and . Smith signed a four-year, $68 million extension containing $45 million in guarantees, of which $30 million was fully guaranteed at signing, from the in 2014. Stafford received a three-year, $53 million extension from the in 2013 with $41.5 million in guarantees. $33.5 million was fully guaranteed at signing.The Redskins will likely be extremely hesitant about making such a significant multi-year commitment to Cousins because there isn't enough of a track record for them to feel comfortable unle s the threat of interest from another team in free agency forces their hand.A Nick Foles-type contract might have appeal to both sides if a longer-term deal can't be reached. It would give the Redskins at least one more year to evaluate whether Cousins is the long-term solution Travis Zajac Kids Jersey at quarterback. Cousins would get a two-year deal with an average yearly salary almost five times as much as his entire rookie contract, with the ability to make additional money depending on his and the team's performance. Foles, who could be an offseason salary cap casualty despite $6 million of his $7.75 million 2016 salary being fully guaranteed without an offset, has $4.5 million of incentives in each of the three years of his contract. He gets $500,000 for at least 75 percent offensive playtime and the Rams winning 10 or more regular season games. It's $1.5 million instead of $500,000 with the same playing time and making the playoffs. The amount increases by $250,000 with a first-round bye and goes up $250,000 for each additional playoff win. A Super Bowl victory with the requisite playing time is worth $3.5 million instead. $750,000 is added to the total earned if Foles is in the top eight in the NFL in pa sing yards, pa ser rating or touchdown pa ses, or the Rams are in the top NFL's Will Butcher Men Jersey top 10 in points scored. There's a $250,000 Pro Bowl bonus as well.A similar incentive package could be adopted for Cousins. Foles' 2017 contract year also voids under three conditions with written notice within 10 days after Super Bowl 51 (February 14 deadline). The conditions are at least 50 percent offensive playing time during the 2015 and 2016 regular seasons with the Rams making the playoffs both years, the same playing-time requirement with 19 or more regular season wins in the two seasons, or two Pro Bowl selections. McCartney might also want the voiding deadline to be in early March when free agency is approaching to eliminate the po sibility of a franchise tag.Cousins would reap the benefit of changes to the quarterback market in 2018 at the latest even if he didn't void the second year or earn incentives provided he continued to improve under the Foles approach. The Redskins wouldn't have any adverse long-term salary cap consequences by parting ways with Cousins if he regre sed next year or in 2017. The Franchise Tag FactorThere are more NFL teams than capable starting quarterbacks, which is why Cousins receiving a franchise tag isn't out of the question. Several things would need to occur to make it a realistic po sibility. Cousins would need to perform like he did on the road in Chicago (or close to it) against the and Eagles. This would probably result in the Redskins hosting a playoff game in the wild-card round, presumably versus the , for winning the NFC East. Beating the two-time defending NFC Champions would be a tremendous upset. Under this scenario, owner Daniel Snyder wouldn't want to risk losing Cousins to free agency if the franchise's first playoff victory in a decade occurred with him under center.The non-exclusive quarterback franchise tag should be $19.671 million with a $153.4 million 2016 salary cap, which is the high end of salary cap projections recently given to NFL teams. Cousins merely putting himself in a position where a franchise tag is a serious consideration would give him the leverage to force the Redskins into making a long-term commitment where his deal would approach top-tier quarterback money.
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